TRUMP: RCP – Polls; CRUZ – TheDonald; McCORMACK – Race tightens.
NATIONAL: HANSON – White zombies; McCARTHY – Immunity for Cheryl; McCARTHY – Obama saved Hillary; DARBY – 7700 terrorist encounters per year.
PA: SNYDER – PoliticsPA; BALLUCK – Hillary 3 pts in PA; ROGERS – Trump in Delco.
THINGS NOT TO BE: Flowers/Broaddrick.
“. . .If the debates were what they pretend to be — an exchange of views and ideas between presidential candidates — then Mrs. Clinton would be in the catbird seat. She’s a grim-faced, dotty old bat, to be sure, and someone who has never in her long political career ever been so much as downwind of an interesting and original idea, but she knows the rules of the game and has been adequately schooled. She is well positioned to treat the debate as a less refined version of the Japanese tea ceremony — going through the motions is the only thing she’s ever been any good at.
“But the debates are not debates. They have nothing to do with ideas or substantive policy views. They are spectacle, and spectacle is the thing for which Donald Trump has a great talent. Clinton is good at satisfying convention and expectations, whereas Trump is good at making a ruckus. George Bernard Shaw advised against wrestling with pigs on the grounds that ‘you both get dirty, and the pig likes it.’ But there is no way for Clinton to avoid wrestling this particular pig: She is too much of a creature of political convention to refuse to participate in these ceremonial debates, and too much of a creature of convention to know what to expect out of them. . .” Kevin Williamson
Polls: Real Clear Politics
Ted Cruz: On TheDonald
“After many months of careful consideration, of prayer and searching my own conscience, I have decided that on Election Day, I will vote for the Republican nominee, Donald Trump.
I’ve made this decision for two reasons. First, last year, I promised to support the Republican nominee. And I intend to keep my word.
Second, even though I have had areas of significant disagreement with our nominee, by any measure Hillary Clinton is wholly unacceptable — that’s why I have always been #NeverHillary.
Six key policy differences inform my decision. First, and most important, the Supreme Court. For anyone concerned about the Bill of Rights — free speech, religious liberty, the Second Amendment — the Court hangs in the balance. I have spent my professional career fighting before the Court to defend the Constitution. We are only one justice away from losing our most basic rights, and the next president will appoint as many as four new justices. We know, without a doubt, that every Clinton appointee would be a left-wing ideologue. Trump, in contrast, has promised to appoint justices “in the mold of Scalia.”
For some time, I have been seeking greater specificity on this issue, and today the Trump campaign provided that, releasing a very strong list of potential Supreme Court nominees — including Sen. Mike Lee, who would make an extraordinary justice — and making an explicit commitment to nominate only from that list. This commitment matters, and it provides a serious reason for voters to choose to support Trump.
Second, Obamacare. The failed healthcare law is hurting millions of Americans. If Republicans hold Congress, leadership has committed to passing legislation repealing Obamacare. Clinton, we know beyond a shadow of doubt, would veto that legislation. Trump has said he would sign it.
Third, energy. Clinton would continue the Obama administration’s war on coal and relentless efforts to crush the oil and gas industry. Trump has said he will reduce regulations and allow the blossoming American energy renaissance to create millions of new high-paying jobs.
Fourth, immigration. Clinton would continue and even expand President Obama’s lawless executive amnesty. Trump has promised that he would revoke those illegal executive orders.
Fifth, national security. Clinton would continue the Obama administration’s willful blindness to radical Islamic terrorism. She would continue importing Middle Eastern refugees whom the FBI cannot vet to make sure they are not terrorists. Trump has promised to stop the deluge of unvetted refugees.
Sixth, Internet freedom. Clinton supports Obama’s plan to hand over control of the Internet to an international community of stakeholders, including Russia, China, and Iran. Just this week, Trump came out strongly against that plan, and in support of free speech online.
These are six vital issues where the candidates’ positions present a clear choice for the American people.
If Clinton wins, we know — with 100% certainty — that she would deliver on her left-wing promises, with devastating results for our country.
My conscience tells me I must do whatever I can to stop that.
We also have seen, over the past few weeks and months, a Trump campaign focusing more and more on freedom — including emphasizing school choice and the power of economic growth to lift African-Americans and Hispanics to prosperity.
Finally, after eight years of a lawless Obama administration, targeting and persecuting those disfavored by the administration, fidelity to the rule of law has never been more important.
The Supreme Court will be critical in preserving the rule of law. And, if the next administration fails to honor the Constitution and Bill of Rights, then I hope that Republicans and Democrats will stand united in protecting our fundamental liberties.
Our country is in crisis. Hillary Clinton is manifestly unfit to be president, and her policies would harm millions of Americans. And Donald Trump is the only thing standing in her way.
A year ago, I pledged to endorse the Republican nominee, and I am honoring that commitment. And if you don’t want to see a Hillary Clinton presidency, I encourage you to vote for him.
John McCormack, Weekly Std: “Quinnipiac: Race Tightens in Colorado as Trump Gains Among White College-Educated Voters”
“The state could decide the presidential contest.
“A new Quinnipiac poll shows Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton tied at 47 percent in a head-to-head race in Colorado. When Libertarian and Green Party candidates are added into the mix, Trump is down just 2 points (44 percent to 42 percent). That’s a big swing from Quinnipiac’s last poll of Colorado in August when Clinton led Trump by 10 points (49 percent to 39 percent).
“The tightening, according to Quinnipiac, is mostly due to shifts among white college-educated voters: InAugust, Clinton had a 25-point lead among that group (58 percent to 33 percent) but now leads Trump by just 5 points (45 percent to 40 percent).
“Trump has increased his margin over Clinton among white voters without college degrees from 17 points in August to 23 points in September. Clinton’s margin over Trump among non-white voters is steady: It was a 35 points in August (64 percent to 29 percent) in August and is 38 points in September (62 percen to 24 percent).
“Quinnipiac is of course just one pollster, and other polls out of Colorado have recently painted a contradictory picture: Emerson College found Trump leading Clinton by 4 points last week, but a PBS poll relased today showed Clinton up by 9 points.
“If Trump were to win all the states where he currently holds any lead in the Real Clear Politics average of polls, he would still need to secure one more state to win a majority of Electoral College votes. Clinton now holds significant 5- to 6-point leads in the polling averages for New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. It’s entirely possible that Colorado could end up putting one candidate or the other over the top in November. . .”
Victor Davis Hanson, NRO: “The Construct of the White Working-Class Zombies”
“One of the strangest transformations in the era of Obama has been the overt and often gratuitous stereotyping of so-called white people — most often the white working classes who have become constructed into veritable unthinking and unrecognizable zombies. For progressives especially these were not the sympathetic old foundation of the Democratic party, who were once romanticized as the “people” pitted against the industrialists and the bluestockings, but rather have become monstrous caricatures of all sorts of incorrect race/class/and gender behavior and speech.
“Stranger still, this disparagement was concurrent to the release of a variety of recent studies that have shown that the white working class has been “losing ground” in far more dramatic terms than have other ethnic groups, especially in key areas such as health and life expectancy. Such news might once have earned liberal sympathies rather than derision. Odder still, the so-called one percenters — that includes high percentages of whites, who have benefited from globalization and changes in the U.S. economy — are often precisely those who damn the less fortunate for supposedly enjoying racially based privileges that are largely confined to themselves.
“Obama himself had long ago made popular the idea that there are not individual white people, good and bad, lazy and industrious, but more generally a collective Borg of racist and culpable “white people.” Or, as he characterized his own “effective” tricks over clueless whites in his admittedly fictional memoir Dreams from My Father, “it was usually an effective tactic, another one of those tricks I had learned: [White] People were satisfied so long as you were courteous and smiled and made no sudden moves.”
“The president himself repeatedly amplified this emphasis on clueless retrograde whites during his two presidential campaigns, which in toto can be fairly characterized as a refutation of his earlier admirable 2004 speech at the Democratic convention (‘There is not a black America and a white America and Latino America and Asian America — there’s the United States of America’).
“Indeed, on a number of occasions during the 2008 campaign, Obama reverted to the ‘white men’ tropes earlier found in Dreams from My Father and commonly heard in Jeremiah Wright’s Trinity Church. . .”
Andrew McCarthy, NRO: “Why Did the Obama Justice Department Grant Cheryl Mills Immunity?”
“Well, what would Friday be without the latest document dump from the Clinton email investigation? Yesterday afternoon, with the public in distracted anticipation of the coming weekend and Monday’s Clinton-Trump debate showdown, the FBI released another 189 pages of interview reports.
“Along with this document dump comes remarkable news: The Obama Justice Department reportedly gave top Clinton aide and confidant Cheryl Mills immunity from prosecution for any incriminating information located on her personal computer.
“This is very strange. There was no need to grant concessions to Mills. The Justice Department could have required the production of the computer by simply issuing a grand jury subpoena. And had there been any concern that Mills would not cooperate, would destroy the computer, or would “misplace” it (as Team Clinton claims to have misplaced so many Hillary devices), investigators could have applied for a search warrant and seized the computer.
“In normal cases, the Justice Department does not grant immunity in exchange for evidence when it has lawful power to compel production of that evidence.
“Mills is not alone. Apparently her subordinate, longtime Clinton aide Heather Samuelson, was given the same deal.
“Unbelievably, Mills and Samuelson, who are lawyers, were also permitted to represent Hillary Clinton in the very same investigation in which, we now learn, they were personally granted immunity from prosecution. That’s apart from the fact that both of them were involved as government officials at the time they engaged in some of the conduct under investigation – a circumstance that, by itself, should have disqualified them from later serving as lawyers for other subjects in the same the investigation. . .”
Andrew McCarthy, NRO: “Obama’s Conflict Tanked the Clinton E-mail Investigation — As Predicted”
“Hillary couldn’t be proven guilty without proving the president guilty as well.
“How is this not classified?”
“So exclaimed Hillary Clinton’s close aide and confidante, Huma Abedin. The FBI had just shown her an old e-mail exchange, over Clinton’s private account, between the then-secretary of state and a second person, whose name Abedin did not recognize. The FBI then did what the FBI is never supposed to do: The agents informed their interviewee (Abedin) of the identity of the second person. It was the president of the United States, Barack Obama, using a pseudonym to conduct communications over a non-secure e-mail system — something anyone with a high-level security clearance, such as Huma Abedin, would instantly realize was a major breach.
“Abedin was sufficiently stunned that, for just a moment, the bottomless capacity of Clinton insiders to keep cool in a scandal was overcome. “How is this not classified?”
She recovered quickly enough, though. The FBI records that the next thing Abedin did, after “express[ing] her amazement at the president’s use of a pseudonym,” was to “ask if she could have a copy of the email.”
“Abedin knew an insurance policy when she saw one. If Obama himself had been e-mailing over a non-government, non-secure system, then everyone else who had been doing it had a get-out-of-jail-free card. . .”
Brandon Darby, Breitbart: “Leaked FBI Data Reveal 7,700 Terrorist Encounters in USA in One Year; Border States Most Targeted”
“Leaked documents with sensitive FBI data exclusively obtained by Breitbart Texas reveal that 7,712 terrorist encounters occurred within the United States in one year and that many of those encounters occurred near the U.S.-Mexico border. The incidents are characterized as “Known or Suspected Terrorist Encounters.” Some of the encounters occurred near the U.S.-Mexico border at ports-of-entry and some occurred in between, indicating that persons known or reasonably suspected of being terrorists attempted to sneak into the U.S. across the border. In all, the encounters occurred in higher numbers in border states.
PA . . .
Sy Snyder, PoliticsPA: 9/23 Ups & Downs
“Katie McGinty. The dawn of this week brought a new Morning Call/Muhlenberg College survey that had the Democratic nominee with a five-point lead over the GOP incumbent. Thanks to those results and others like them, McGinty is now considered the favorite in the PA-Sen race according to FiveThirtyEight’s new Senate forecast. Furthermore, Nate Silver himself wrote about the race and identified it as the seat that may turn the upper chamber blue. Of course there’s still six and a half weeks left and Pat Toomey will put up quite the fight, nonetheless McGinty is the front-runner as we enter the fall. Not many anticipated that.
Ed Rendell. It’s hard to think of a Hillary Clinton surrogate who’s done a worse job this year than the former Governor. He’s praised Donald Trump, criticized theClintons’ relationship to their Foundation and most infamously stated that there are “more ugly women in America than attractive women.” Then on Thursday,Rendell revealed that he agreed with Reince Priebus’ opinion that Hillary needs to “smile more”. The first priority for every surrogate is “Do no harm”, which makes it amazing that the Democrats have yet to give Rendell the hook.
Barack Obama. Presidents tend to either fade away or finish strong. Poll numbers suggest the latter is the case for the Oval Office’s current occupant. On Monday, the latest Morning Call/Muhlenberg poll showed Obama with a 53% approval rating in PA. As a result, we’re likely to see more campaign appearances and adsfrom the President and the First Lady. The Keystone State may end up being the key to whether Pres. Obama can secure his legacy by passing the baton to his chosen successor.
Brian Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick, younger brother of the retiring incumbent, is the GOP nominee in the commonwealth’s most competitive congressional race. So it must’ve been heartening when an internal poll showed him with a 12-point advantageover Democratic nominee Steve Santarsiero. Fitzpatrick then got a helping hand from the NRCC, who went negative and allowed the candidate to skirt his no negativity pledge. Finally, he secured the endorsement of two local lodges of the Fraternal Order of Police yesterday.
Eric Papenfuse. We’ll be giving the Harrisburg Mayor a down arrow every week until he lifts his ridiculous ban of PennLive. Somehow, this has now extended to week fifteen.
Kyle Balluck, The Hill: “Clinton’s lead narrows to 3 points in Pennsylvania”
“Clinton leads Trump, 44 to 41 percent, in theMorning Call/Muhlenberg College poll released late Saturday.
“One week ago, Clinton had a 9-point advantage in that poll, 47 to 38 percent.
“Clinton’s lead in a four-way matchup is now 2 points, 40 to 38 percent, pollsters found. Libertarian Party nominee has fallen to 8 percent support and the Green Party’s Jill Stein has 3 percent.”
Loretta Rogers, DelCoTimes: “Why Delco thinks Trump will make America safe again”
“. . . Wearing a pink T-shirt with the words, “Adorable Deplorable” on the front, Brookhaven resident Mary Lou Astle said she is supporting Trump because he loves America.
“I think he is a true patriot,” she said. “He wants to help the people of the United States. He doesn’t act like a billionaire. He acts like an everyday, regular Joe.”
Following remarks by Delaware County Republican Committee Chairman Andy Reilly, legendary Indiana Hoosiers basketball coach Bobby Knight introduced Trump to thunderous applause.
“I’m here because I love the United States,” Knight said. “I know you feel as strongly about our country as I do. Donald Trump is a guy that when he becomes president he will know how to work with anybody in the world. People know who he is now and they know two things about him. They know how smart he is and they know how damn tough he is. He is not going to be a wimpy president. You have an opportunity to elect a smart, tough man who will make a tremendous difference.”
THINGS NOT TO BE . . .
Paulina Firozi, The Hill: “Gennifer Flowers says she will attend debate”
“Gennifer Flowers, the woman that Bill Clinton had an extramarital affair with, said she would accept Donald Trump‘s invitation to seat her in the front row of Monday’s presidential debate against Hillary Clinton.
“Hi Donald. You know I’m in your corner and will definitely be at the debate!,” read a tweet from what appears to be Flowers’s account.”
Also – Kyle Olson, American Mirror: “Juanita Broaddrick would confront Hillary if Trump invited her to debate”